Two For One
Written by Mike on January 21, 2008 – 1:43 am -As promised, here’s a second post for today. After this morning’s rant about a certain jersey number, I felt obligated to provide you with some more newsworthy stuff about the ball club.
First, the Cardinals are making progress with their arbitration eligible players. Rick Ankiel agreed to a new one year contract that will pay him $900,000 in 2008. Incentives could make it an even $1 million. Figures for both Todd Wellemeyer and Yadier Molina have been exchanged, and negotiations continue as the players hope to avoid arbitration hearings. The Post Dispatch has the full story here.
Most Cardinal fans know that the annual Winter Warm-up is going on this weekend in downtown St. Louis. Living here in South Florida makes it tough for me to attend. Luckily, Derrick Goold has been blogging about the Warm-up daily. He’s got some great stuff. Check it out here. Anyone that did attend the event, I’d love to hear your story, so feel free to comment or shoot me an email.
Finally, there’s a new interview with top prospect, Colby Rasmus, posted at Colby-Rasmus.com. It’s definitely worth the read. Here’s the link.
The 15
Written by Mike on January 20, 2008 – 3:52 pm -
I’ve got a bit more to say about jersey numbers today. Bear with me. Last week, Troy Glaus chose to wear 8, rather than Mark McGwire’s 25.
“I’ve been 25 a long time. I’ve known Mark for a long time,” Glaus said. ”He’s an icon in this city and I’m not going to do that.”
Last season, 8 belonged to Cardinals hitting coach, Hal McRae. I just found out that this season, McRae will wear 15, the number worn by departed fan favorite, Jim Edmonds, since 2000. The news didn’t sit well with me. I don’t expect 15 to be retired by the Cardinals, but I’d at least like to see it put away for a while. Why can’t McRae say something like Glaus did? Jim is an icon in St. Louis. I know what some of you are thinking, so to better explain my thoughts on this, we’re going to do a little role playing (you play the part of You, and I’ll be Me). Ready?
YOU: Mike, it’s just a number. What’s the big deal?
ME: Just a number? It’s not just a number. It’s the number I’ve been staring at from the bleachers for the past eight years. It’s Jimmy’s number.
YOU: Yeah, okay, but it’s not like it’s retired or something.
ME: Who cares if it’s retired. McGwire’s number isn’t retired and it hasn’t been re-issued. Jimmy’s done a lot more for the Cardinals than Big Mac ever did.
YOU: You’re taking this too seriously man. I’m sure Edmonds doesn’t care if someone in St. Louis wears the number fifteen.
ME: What? Pull your head out of your ass! He named his St. Louis restaurant F15teen.
YOU: That’s probably just a clever marketing gimmick. He’s rich. Do you really think he cares?
ME: Yeah. Check out this page from a magazine my mom sent me.
YOU: (After checking out the page here) Wow. That’s pretty heartfelt. He even signed it #15. I guess he does care. So now what are you going to do?
ME: I’ll tell you what I’m going to do. I’m going to tell my friends, my family, and everyone I know to petition against this move.
YOU: I’m sure you and a few handfuls of people aren’t going to make Hal McRae change his number.
ME: You’re missing the point here. If everyone I know tells everyone they know, soon we’ll have a hell of a lot of pissed off people and then Hal McIdiot can find himself a new damn number!
Thanks for playing. Check back for a second post later today.
2008 Team Outlook - Part 4
Written by Mike on January 20, 2008 – 12:58 am -
With under a month now until pitchers and catchers report to spring training, it’s time to take a look at the Cardinals starting rotation. I’ve already discussed the bullpen, both the infield and the outfield, and the team’s payroll, so check them out if you missed them.
Anyone who watched the ‘07 team knows that the biggest weakness was the starting pitching. The group will have to be much better this year in order for the club to stay competitive. So far, word is that staff ace, Chris Carpenter, will be out until mid-season, as he completes his recovery from Tommy John surgery. Carpenter pitched only one game (opening day) last year. According to reports, lefty Mark Mulder should be ready to go by May 1st, although I won’t be holding my breath. Mulder’s timetable has never been accurate. I often wonder about our medical staff, but that’s a whole other story. So who will be in the rotation out of spring?
Adam Wainwright, the de facto ace, might get the ball on opening day. In 2007, Wainwright was 14-12, with a 3.70 ERA in 32 starts. He was, however, a much better pitcher in the second half. To me, Wainwright’s best pitch, his curve, wasn’t as knee-buckling in ‘07 as it was the year before. Remember how dominant he was closing out games in the playoffs? I bet Carlos Beltran is still having Game 7 nightmares. Now, with a full big league season under his belt, I expect Wainwright to be slightly better in ‘08.
Braden Looper will again have a big role this year. Last season was his first as a starter. In 31 games (30 starts), he went 12-12, with a 4.94 ERA. He showed some arm fatigue in ‘07, but should have more endurance this year. I expect him to be improved as well.
Newcomer, Matt Clement, joins the rotation this season. He hasn’t pitched in a major league game since June 14, 2006, so it’s nearly impossible to predict what we’ll get out of him. I liked the low risk signing, and I’m hoping he can log innings and come close to being the pitcher he was with the Cubs. From 2002-04, Clement started 94 games, going 35-36, with very respectable ERAs and high strike out totals. I’m looking forward to seeing him pitch this spring.
Joel Pineiro slots into the fourth spot. After the Cardinals picked him up last year, he compiled a record of 6-4, with an ERA of 3.96 in 11 starts. There was some talk last season of him tipping his pitches, but apparently that’s been worked out. I’d be happy with 10-12 wins from Joel in ‘08.
As it looks right now, the fifth spot could be a combination of guys. Anthony Reyes, Todd Wellemeyer, and Brad Thompson could all start games until Mulder is healthy. Wellemeyer showed promise last season, while Reyes was downright awful. He didn’t get much run support, but it always seemed like he’d give up one big inning and get the loss. Surprisingly though, barring a trade, I’m looking for Reyes to be the fifth guy. He’s had a few outstanding games with the Cards (so did Jason Marquis), but was excellent throughout most of his time in the minors. A new season, with a clean slate, is just what Reyes needs.
Overall, the starting rotation looks improved over last season. Not having Kip Wells or Mike Maroth involved is a plus. Perhaps the better glove at short this year could make a difference too. Either way, it should be more fun to watch.
Baseball Withdrawal?
Written by Mike on January 19, 2008 – 1:41 am -This never gets old. If it doesn’t get you excited for baseball season, you’re not a Cardinal fan. Enjoy!
Works every time.
More Notes and Links
Written by Mike on January 17, 2008 – 11:33 pm -First, I should point out that yesterday was also the birthday of Cardinal Hall of Famer, Dizzy Dean. I thought about working it into yesterday’s post, but didn’t want to cloud the message I was trying to convey about Albert Pujols. Check out Dean’s Cooperstown credentials here.
Speaking of Pujols (again), the folks at Cardinals Diaspora pointed out a Tigers blog that gave a nice defensive analysis of all first basemen, and I wanted to pass it along. Of course Albert ranks at the top. The entry, by Lee Panas, can be found here. Thanks CD.
Mathew Leach’s weekly segment, “Around the Horn” is back again. This time, he looks at the middle infielders. Check it out here.
The middle infield was also the subject of a question I posted to Jeff Gordon in his Monday chat session over at the Post Dispatch. Here’s the transcript:
| Mike: Greetings Gordo -
I’d like to know your thoughts on the middle infield situation. Now that Aaron Miles is back, does this mean that Brendan Ryan starts the year in Memphis? I see only three spots available with Izturis, Kennedy, Miles, Ryan, and Jimenz competing. Is it possible that Izturis pulls a Spivey, and doesn’t make the club? Thanks! Mike from Miami, FL |
| Jeff Gordon: Anything is possible. Izturis has a solid defensive reputation, so I believe he stays. Jiminez is the longshot. Miles offers Kennedy insurance; he could play a lot if Kennedy is really finished. Ryan’s versatility will make him a strong candidate — but if both Izturis and Kennedy hit well enough to start, he could go back to Memphis as the full-time shortstop.
Mozeliak, appropriately, created lots of competition here. |
Link.
Finally, Commissioner Bud Selig received a contract extension today. He’ll be in office through at least 2012. ESPN has the full story. I’m not sure of my feelings on this yet, but feel free to leave your own comments.
Happy Birthday Albert
Written by Mike on January 17, 2008 – 3:10 am -
Today is Albert Pujols’ 28th birthday, and I wanted to say a few words about him. I think it’s important to recognize all that he’s accomplished so far in his illustrious career. As Cardinal fans, watching Albert play day in and day out over the years, we’ve become accustomed to his production, and it’s easy to take his tremendous contributions for granted.
Since Pujols first made it to the big leagues as a twenty-one year old with the Cards in 2001, he’s done nothing but hit. No other player has ever hit over 30 home runs, drove in over 100 runs, and bat over .300 in the first seven years of his career. Pujols amassed these numbers each year from ‘01 through ‘05, setting a record, and has since broken his own record twice. It doesn’t look like like he’s planning on slowing down anytime soon either. His statistics show just how extraordinary he is.
Check out these gaudy numbers:
YEAR AVG HR RBI
2001 .329 37 130
2002 .314 34 127
2003 .359 43 124
2004 .331 46 123
2005 .330 41 117
2006 .331 49 137
2007 .327 32 103
View all of his stats here.
Albert has been selected to 6 All Star games, has 3 Silver Slugger Awards (at 3 different positions), a Hank Aaron Award, a Gold Glove, was Rookie of the Year in ‘01, MVP in ‘05 (was voted in the top 4 for MVP 6 times), and was the Major League Player of the Year in ‘03. The list of other awards goes on and on.
The list of Pujols’ most similar batters includes names like Joe DiMaggio, Hank Aaron, Mickey Mantle, and Lou Gehrig. Let’s remember that we’re fortunate enough to have one of the greatest players in history currently playing for our beloved Redbirds.
“A lot of people said I could be a good player. I just wanted the opportunity to show it.” - Albert Pujols
The 25
Written by Mike on January 16, 2008 – 3:53 am -
Tomorrow the Cardinals will formally announce the trade for new third baseman, Troy Glaus. With it, perhaps, we’ll find out what number he’ll wear on his jersey. For the past several years, Glaus has had the number 25 on his back. No Cardinal has worn that number since Mark McGwire in 2001. Will Glaus be the next? Will there be a next?
Currently, there are ten numbers retired by the Cardinals:
- 1 Ozzie Smith
- 2 Red Shoendienst
- 6 Stan Musial
- 9 Enos Slaughter
- 14 Ken Boyer
- 17 Dizzy Dean
- 20 Lou Brock
- 42 Bruce Sutter/Jackie Robinson
- 45 Bob Gibson
- 85 August Busch, Jr.
A few others, although never retired, have yet to be re-issued. There’s Willie McGee’s 51, Darryl Kile’s 57, and of course Big Mac’s 25.
Personally, I hope we never see another Cardinal wearing 51 or 57. But, with McGwire’s hall status in doubt, many believe it’s time his old number finds a new owner. I can’t say that I disagree.
More on Glaus, Rolen
Written by Mike on January 15, 2008 – 1:11 am -It’s official. Both players passed their physical today, so the swap of third basemen is now approved. As promised, I compared some numbers to see what the Cardinals could be gaining or losing with a new man at the hot corner. Salary and age are both negligible.
I decided to limit the past stats to the last four years. Due to injuries, Rolen missed most of the ‘05 season, while Glaus missed most of ‘04. Both players missed significant time last season. So, by looking only at 2004-07, both games played and at-bats are nearly the same for both players.
First, let’s compare the basic offensive stats:
YR Name G AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG
04 Rolen 142 500 34 124 .314 .409 .598
04 Glaus 58 207 18 42 .251 .355 .575
05 Rolen 56 196 5 28 .235 .323 .383
05 Glaus 149 538 37 97 .258 .363 .522
06 Rolen 142 521 22 95 .296 .369 .518
06 Glaus 153 540 38 104 .252 .355 .513
07 Rolen 112 392 8 58 .265 .331 .398
07 Glaus 115 385 20 62 .262 .366 .473
Totaling the four year span:
Rolen 452 1609 69 305 .287
Glaus 475 1670 113 305 .256
Now let’s look their 2008 projections from ZIPS:
08 Rolen 106 380 9 55 .255 .331 .397
08 Glaus 134 469 27 82 .247 .350 .469
How about a couple of defensive stats:
Range Factor 04 05 06 07
Rolen 3.06 3.19 3.06 2.99
Glaus 2.07 3.01 2.80 2.52
Zone Rating 04 05 06 07
Rolen .822 .875 .803 .847
Glaus .652 .766 .741 .737
Fielding Pct. 04 05 06 07
Rolen .977 .966 .965 .969
Glaus .950 .946 .963 .967
The bottom line? It’s no secret that Rolen is a much better defender. He’s won seven gold gloves (Glaus has never earned one). Scotty’s glove cannot be replaced. What the Cardinals are giving up on defense, they’ll make up for with Glaus’ offense. His power numbers have remained a plus over the years, while Rolen’s have been in a steady decline since his first shoulder injury. The Cards’ lineup should look a bit more dangerous with Glaus penciled in behind Pujols. Protecting Albert in the lineup is often overlooked. ZIPS projects similar averages for both players, but gives Glaus a clear advantage in home runs and slugging percentage. Now we have something else to get excited about for the upcoming season.
Wait For It
Written by Mike on January 14, 2008 – 3:04 am -Well, I’ve got an entire post, ready to publish, completely devoted to crunching the numbers of both Troy Glaus and Scott Rolen. A little compare and contrast, if you will. However, I’ve decided that it would be a bit premature to post it today, and now plan on waiting until the trade is finalized, after both players pass their physicals.
So instead, let’s bide our time with some minor, late news surrounding the ball club. I’ll refer you to the St. Louis Post Dispatch, where you’ll find an interesting article discussing our old pal, Walt Jocketty, and his new position with the Cincinnati Reds. Derrick Goold has the story.
A couple more former Redbirds have signed on elsewhere. Kip Wells has signed a one year deal with the Colorado Rockies, while infielder Miguel Cairo has signed on with the Seattle Mariners.
For those interested in the annual Cardinals Caravan, the schedule and lineups are now available. Matthew Leach has all the info.
Also, Rick Hummel has the news of another loss in the Cardinal family. Long time VP of community relations, Marty Hendin, passed away last night at 59. Another tip of the cap is due Cards fans. Read the full article here.
Rolen to Toronto
Written by Mike on January 12, 2008 – 11:35 pm -
The Cardinals and Bluejays have agreed on a trade that would swap their third basemen. Pending physicals, Toronto will get seven time gold-glover, Scott Rolen, along with cash. St. Louis gets Troy Glaus, a 31 year old, right-handed hitting third baseman. Foxsports first broke this story.
The ongoing feud between Rolen and Tony La Russa has already been beaten to death. This trade would clear the disgruntled Rolen, as well as bring in a legitimate right-handed power bat, something Mozeliak has been clamoring for.
Glaus, when healthy, has put up impressive power numbers, hitting 30 or more home runs five times in his career, including an AL leading 47 in 2000. He’s a career .254 hitter and a four time All Star, but a lesser defender than Rolen. It’s also been reported that he received shipments of performance enhancing drugs from a Florida pharmacy. That story is here. Glaus is signed for $12.75 million in ‘08, with an $11.25 million option for ‘09.
I’ll miss Scotty. He was my favorite Cardinal, and I love the way he plays the game. I guess I’ll have to retire my two Rolen jerseys. On the other hand, at least the Cards are getting a proven commodity in return, unlike the Edmonds trade. And, it’s not like there’s a top prospect hanging around waiting to play third for the Redbirds. Well, the ball club sure is looking different this year. I can’t wait to see how it all plays out.
